Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 987.093264 1111.880207 1248.095506 1408.102899 1591.263414 1794.785803 2038.625755
2025-12-28 813.943402 987.898328 1194.152431 1457.991464 1788.311437 2190.508404 2720.828765
2026-01-04 706.698805 901.825526 1146.490020 1478.333507 1920.556270 2495.006026 3306.539426
2026-01-11 627.155811 832.951538 1102.824096 1486.646223 2024.982924 2762.822055 3867.349261
2026-01-18 565.469570 776.948241 1065.083288 1491.968739 2117.917462 3017.179362 4434.371685
2026-01-25 525.601166 744.605421 1053.502848 1528.534631 2254.156436 3343.157246 5144.138395
2026-02-01 489.674040 712.994826 1037.943358 1554.834959 2374.439605 3654.954071 5869.708911
2026-02-08 456.247905 681.033579 1017.503594 1569.532229 2475.490971 3944.745956 6594.857731
2026-02-15 427.897894 653.599397 1000.453385 1586.231278 2579.243770 4247.712574 7380.420994
2026-02-22 406.083525 634.000324 993.156087 1616.771485 2707.481398 4604.167319 8308.061013
2026-03-01 372.897222 593.149106 947.749015 1578.308683 2711.349662 4741.397627 8844.532119
2026-03-08 341.185527 552.023017 898.189731 1527.389513 2686.538140 4821.789572 9278.699916
2026-03-15 311.498715 512.459318 848.821659 1473.548484 2653.236476 4887.182906 9702.921986
2026-03-22 302.068977 506.652965 856.837504 1523.873541 2820.560141 5357.570521 11040.728561
2026-03-29 288.858570 493.080080 849.845655 1545.303152 2933.823277 5733.834824 12234.739541
2026-04-05 274.940122 477.078315 837.006441 1554.034279 3022.184912 6068.962179 13389.233538
2026-04-12 261.790398 461.405678 823.371588 1559.625998 3104.200558 6399.865751 14586.888332
2026-04-19 253.983896 454.927103 826.239498 1598.043967 3258.835375 6907.477172 16297.347172
2026-04-26 245.352228 446.204360 824.026111 1625.679597 3392.990149 7385.921243 18018.569443
2026-05-03 235.892657 435.175958 816.392012 1641.124208 3501.604443 7818.892368 19698.463853
2026-05-10 227.326969 425.244405 810.093049 1658.673369 3616.702900 8281.899673 21544.194116
2026-05-17 220.843468 418.935045 810.529454 1690.770985 3769.056777 8856.154039 23811.017837
2026-05-24 207.537615 398.046744 779.576981 1650.347322 3744.089828 8980.396051 24793.489844